Donald Trump leads Nikki Haley by 27% in first South Carolina poll

Former President Donald Trump is on course for another double-digit win over 2024 rival Nikki Haley — this time in her home state of South Carolina, according to a new poll.

Trump, 77, enjoys 58% support among likely voters in the Feb. 24 Palmetto State GOP primary, per the survey by the American Promise and the Tyson Group.

Haley, 52, had 31% backing while 11% said they were unsure about whom to support.

Trump led Haley among all political and age groups sampled — except for self-declared Democrats, 49% of whom said they supported Haley and just 5% of whom said they backed the former president.

More than two-thirds of respondents (68%) said they held favorable views of Trump, with 44% saying those views were “strongly favorable.”

By contrast, only 56% said they had favorable opinions of Haley, with just 23% saying their views of her were “strongly favorable.”

The economy and immigration were far and away the top issues for South Carolina voters, with 66% saying the former was one of their top two issues and half saying the same of “fighting illegal immigration.”


Nikki Haley speaks during a campaign event, in North Charleston, South Carolina, USA, 24 January 2024.
Nikki Haley speaks during a campaign event in North Charleston, South Carolina, on January 24, 2024. ERIK S LESSER/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Haley enters the South Carolina contest off a third-place finish in Iowa, behind Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and an 11 percentage-point loss to the 45th president in New Hampshire.

Friday’s poll was the first major survey of the first-in-the-South primary released since the New Hampshire result.

Haley faces an uphill battle to win her home state, where more than 150 current and former elected officials have endorsed Trump — including Gov. Henry McMaster and US Sens. Tim Scott and Lindsey Graham.

Haley has maintained she doesn’t need the support of the “political elite,” and that her lack of support stems from her previous actions to keep the South Carolina government “accountable.”


Trump supporters gather outside an event for republican presidential hopeful former Gov. Nikki Haley at the Embassy Suites in North Charleston, South Carolina.
Trump supporters gather outside an event for Republican presidential hopeful Nikki Haley at the Embassy Suites in North Charleston, South Carolina. Richard Ellis/UPI/Shutterstock

Meanwhile, Trump has boasted about his support on Haley’s home turf and invited his South Carolina endorsers to appear with him at his New Hampshire rallies to send a message to his rival.

“Nikki loves to talk about cognitive impairment on the campaign trail, but she should take a hard look at herself and her life choices if she thinks she can be competitive in her home state of South Carolina in exactly one month. Name one state that Nikki can win. There isn’t one,” Trump spokesperson Steven Cheung has said.

Haley’s campaign did not immediately respond to an inquiry from The Post.

The online poll surveyed 543 likely Republican primary voters Jan. 24-26 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.


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